Data notes (9)
Data notes
What is measured and what is not: PepsiCo never published sales for Crystal Pepsi. Its annual reports give only direction: case sales “offset a decline” in Pepsi and Diet Pepsi in 1993, showed “softening trends,” and had “significant declines” in 1994.234 Every share or dollar figure for the brand on this page comes from the press and is attributed where it appears.
The $474M figure: Widely repeated as Crystal Pepsi’s first-year sales. The origin is Jesse Meyers of Beverage Digest in The New York Times of Mar 2, 1993: the brand “earned a full percentage point share in the market last year,” and “One share point means $474 million at retail.”15 It is the value of a share point, as stated by a trade publisher, not a reported sales total. National distribution began only in December 19928, so we treat a full year at one point as unverified.
Estimates: The $40 million advertising budget is an estimate reported by The New York Times (“an estimated $40 million in advertising support”) and repeated by Advertising Age.819 The projection of more than 2% of a $47 billion market, about $1 billion, is Pepsi’s own, as reported by the Times.8 The US soft drink market is given as $46 billion, $47 billion, $48 billion and $50 billion in different articles between 1992 and 1994; each is quoted from its source.581819
Unverified or secondary: Unverified: the 0.5% share at the end of 1993 appears in Mental Floss (2018) without a primary citation.21 The fall in share of 25% by March 1993 and more than 50% by year-end is from a 2016 Carroll County Times article summarizing a June 1993 Scripps story we could not open.31 The $2 million reportedly paid to Van Halen is from Ultimate Classic Rock (2021) with no primary source given.22 Roberto Goizueta’s November 1993 remark is quoted from Mental Floss, which attributes it to Adweek.21 Sergio Zyman’s account of Tab Clear as a deliberate “kamikaze” is his own later claim, quoted from Mental Floss, which takes it from the 2011 book Killing Giants; we did not consult the book directly, and Coca-Cola said nothing of the kind in 1992.821 A May 2027 return reported in September 2026 is a social media rumor that PepsiCo had not confirmed.35
Derived figures: Derived: 13,000 six-packs × 6 = 78,000 bottles (2015)25; 300 winners × 6 bottles = 1,800 bottles (2022)34; 13,000 ÷ 300 ≈ 43. Development “about 15 months” before April 1992 puts the start in early 1991.5 The 39-cent promotional price is 26% of the usual $1.49 (0.39 ÷ 1.49).6 $40M ÷ $474M ≈ 8.4% and $40M ÷ $1B = 4%. The decline chart plots the index 100, 75, 50 from the secondary percentages above, with “more than 50%” shown as 50; the zero points before national launch and after the 1994 withdrawal are plotting conventions, not measurements. Domestic beverage profit for 1992 ($687M) is $937M less the reported $250M increase.2
Unknowns: Not found in any source we could open: Crystal Pepsi’s sales in dollars or cases for any year; actual advertising spending; the date the last original bottles shipped; how long the 1994 citrus version, Crystal, stayed on sale; volumes for the 2016 and 2017 retail runs. The first discontinuation is dated to 1994 on the basis of PepsiCo’s 1993 annual report (the product “will be reintroduced in 1994 in a nondiet version only”), Advertising Age in July 1994, and later press that says early 1994.2192934 People magazine instead says it was gone from retailers by late 1993.33
Dates of videos: Years for commercials and news clips are the uploaders’ unless stated. The Saturday Night Live sketch is dated Oct 2, 1993 by the Carroll County Times; SNL’s own upload says Season 19, 1993.3137
General knowledge: Super Bowl XXVII was played on January 31, 1993, and Bill Clinton was inaugurated on January 20, 1993. PepsiCo is headquartered in Purchase, New York. Pepsi Max, Mountain Dew and Sprite are still sold.
Sources we could not open: BusinessWeek’s “Pepsi’s Future Becomes Clearer” (Jan 1993), The Washington Post’s Dec 15, 1992 report on Tab Clear and several 1992 newspaper pages behind paywalls were not retrievable, so nothing here relies on them. Wikipedia was used only to find sources.